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Betting tips › College Football ›  Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

 College FootballSat 7 Nov 20:30 UTCJohnny "Red" Floyd Stadium

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders tips

WKUWestern Kentucky HilltoppersLWWLW
VS
MTSUMiddle Tennessee Blue RaidersLWWLL
The model callWestern Kentucky Hilltoppers +1.5Handicap1.91★★★★2 stars

Western Kentucky brings a marginally better recent run of form into this fixture compared to their hosts. The visitors should keep things very close on the road at the given price.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$38.2
Profit$18.2
Why it might land
  • Western Kentucky arrives holding three wins from their last five outings while showing they can consistently pick up victories on the road.
  • Middle Tennessee has dropped three of their last five matches to show clear vulnerabilities that the visiting side can exploit here.
  • The betting market lists Western Kentucky as plus one and a half point underdogs while giving a solid price of 1.91 for that cover.
Why it might not
  • Western Kentucky suffered a recent defeat in their last five outings which proves they are still capable of stumbling away from home.
  • Middle Tennessee managed to secure two victories across their last five fixtures to show they can still pull off a result when needed.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Total pointsOver 52.5 pointsPrice 1.91

The total line sits at fifty two and a half points but neither team shows consistent enough scoring patterns to make a confident push either way.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders the side to beat here at 52%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +1.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Western Kentucky brings a marginally better recent run of form into this fixture compared to their hosts. The visitors should keep things very close on the road at the given price.

Form and momentum

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders come in patchy, winning 36% of 14 on record. 3 of their 7 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers come in solid, winning 53% of 15 on record. 3 of their 8 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 52% for MTSU and 48% for WKU once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.91, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Western Kentucky suffered a recent defeat in their last five outings which proves they are still capable of stumbling away from home.
  • Middle Tennessee managed to secure two victories across their last five fixtures to show they can still pull off a result when needed.
The bottom line

We back Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +1.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsMTSU -1.5
MTSU -1.51.91WKU +1.51.91over 52.51.91under 52.51.91

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

MTSUMiddle Tennessee Blue Raiders14 games on record
Won5
Lost9
  • Scored293and let in414
  • At home3 winsfrom7
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWWLL
WKUWestern Kentucky Hilltoppers15 games on record
Won8
Lost7
  • Scored378and let in411
  • On the road3 winsfrom8
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWWLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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