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Betting tips › J1 League ›  Kyoto Sanga v Shimizu S-Pulse

 J1 LeagueSat 31 Oct 05:00 UTCSanga Stadium by Kyocera

Kyoto Sanga v Shimizu S-Pulse tips

KYOKyoto SangaWLLDW
VS
SHIShimizu S-PulseWWLDL
The model callDrawMatch result3.15★★★★1 star

These two sides look very evenly matched on recent form and the market prices reflect that exact sentiment. Expect a tight contest at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera where neither team manages to pull away.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$31.5
Profit$21.5
Why it might land
  • The bookmakers price both Kyoto Sanga and Shimizu S Pulse identically at 2.65 to win the match which points straight to a very tight contest.
  • Kyoto Sanga picked up two wins and a draw from their last five matches but also suffered two defeats to keep their overall momentum checked.
  • Shimizu S Pulse match that exact five game sequence with two wins, two losses and a single draw to show how close these teams really are.
Why it might not
  • Kyoto Sanga managed to secure a win in their most recent outing which could give them enough momentum to break the stalemate at home.
  • Shimizu S Pulse also recorded a victory recently despite their mixed run of results which shows they carry a threat on the road.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Recent form fluctuations for both clubs suggest they will likely trade goals over the ninety minutes.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both teams have shown mixed defensive results in their recent matches which keeps the door open for goals.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Kyoto Sanga the side to beat here at 35%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Draw, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. These two sides look very evenly matched on recent form and the market prices reflect that exact sentiment. Expect a tight contest at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera where neither team manages to pull away.

Form and momentum

Kyoto Sanga come in poor, winning 25% of 8 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Shimizu S-Pulse come in patchy, winning 38% of 8 on record. 1 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 35% for KYO, 30% for the draw and 35% for SHI once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 3.15, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Kyoto Sanga managed to secure a win in their most recent outing which could give them enough momentum to break the stalemate at home.
  • Shimizu S Pulse also recorded a victory recently despite their mixed run of results which shows they carry a threat on the road.
The bottom line

We back Draw for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsKYO +165
KYO2.65draw3.15SHI2.65

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

KYOKyoto Sanga8 games on record
Won2
Drawn2
Lost4
  • Scored11and let in15
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLDW
SHIShimizu S-Pulse8 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost4
  • Scored6and let in8
  • On the road1 winsfrom3
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWLDL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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