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Betting tips › Eerste Divisie ›  Jong AZ v Almere City

 Eerste DivisieFri 6 Nov 19:00 UTCAFAS Trainingscomplex

Jong AZ v Almere City tips

JAZJong AZWDLWW
VS
ALMAlmere CityLWWLW
The model callAlmere CityMatch result2.15★★★★2 stars

Almere City arrive with three wins from their last five matches and look slightly too strong at the current price. Jong AZ have been picking up points too but the visitors offer more solid recent form overall.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$43
Profit$23
Why it might land
  • Almere City come into this fixture having secured three victories from their previous five matches in the division.
  • The visitors are priced at 2.15 to win this match which offers fair value given their recent run of results.
  • Jong AZ have mixed results on their record lately including a recent defeat which shows they are prone to slip ups.
Why it might not
  • Jong AZ return to their home ground with two wins and a draw from their last three matches creating a tough test.
  • Almere City did suffer a defeat recently in their sequence which proves they can be vulnerable on the road.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams have shown enough attacking intent in their recent five match runs to suggest goals at both ends.

Total goalsOver 3.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We have no prices for the total goals line of 3.5 so it is best to avoid guessing.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Almere City the side to beat here at 43%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Almere City, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Almere City arrive with three wins from their last five matches and look slightly too strong at the current price. Jong AZ have been picking up points too but the visitors offer more solid recent form overall.

Form and momentum

Jong AZ come in patchy, winning 44% of 9 on record. 2 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Almere City come in strong, winning 63% of 8 on record. 3 of their 5 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 34% for JAZ, 23% for the draw and 43% for ALM once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.15, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Jong AZ return to their home ground with two wins and a draw from their last three matches creating a tough test.
  • Almere City did suffer a defeat recently in their sequence which proves they can be vulnerable on the road.
The bottom line

We back Almere City for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsALM +115
JAZ2.75draw4.10ALM2.15

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

JAZJong AZ9 games on record
Won4
Drawn1
Lost4
  • Scored22and let in17
  • At home2 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDLWW
ALMAlmere City8 games on record
Won5
Drawn1
Lost2
  • Scored18and let in7
  • On the road3 winsfrom5
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWWLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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