Betting tips › Serie A › Fiorentina v Atalanta
Serie AThu 29 Oct 19:45 UTCStadio Artemio FranchiFiorentina v Atalanta tips
FiorentinaDWWLL
AtalantaLLLWWFiorentina play at home against Atalanta at the Stadio Artemio Franchi on Thursday evening. The hosts look the better value at the current prices despite some mixed recent results.
- Fiorentina are playing at the Stadio Artemio Franchi where they hold home advantage against visiting opponents.
- The hosts are priced at two point one five in the market which gives decent value for a home win.
- Atalanta arrive into this fixture having suffered three defeats in their last five matches across the recent run.
- Fiorentina have lost two of their last five matches which shows they can be beaten on any given day.
- Atalanta managed to win their last two consecutive matches which proves they carry some winning momentum into this game.
Both teams have enough recent form in front of goal to suggest finding the net at least once each.
Both sides have shown varied scoring patterns recently so goals could go either way around the two point five line.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
Edge Analysis
The market makes Fiorentina the side to beat here at 43%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Fiorentina, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Fiorentina play at home against Atalanta at the Stadio Artemio Franchi on Thursday evening. The hosts look the better value at the current prices despite some mixed recent results.
Fiorentina come in poor, winning 28% of 40 on record. 5 of their 21 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.
Atalanta come in solid, winning 45% of 40 on record. 6 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 3 losss in a row.
The prices turn into 43% for FIO, 26% for the draw and 31% for ATA once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Fiorentina, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.15, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
Across 2 past meetings ATA have had the better of it, 1 wins to 0, with 1 drawn. Squads change, so read it as colour rather than proof.
- Fiorentina have lost two of their last five matches which shows they can be beaten on any given day.
- Atalanta managed to win their last two consecutive matches which proves they carry some winning momentum into this game.
We back Fiorentina for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Every price we track
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
Recent Performance
Fiorentina40 games on record- Scored47and let in56
- At home5 winsfrom21
- Right now1 draw in a row
Atalanta40 games on record- Scored56and let in50
- On the road6 winsfrom20
- Right now3 losss in a row
Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.
When these two have met
- Fiorentina 1 : 1 Atalanta22 May 2026 · Serie A
- Atalanta 2 : 0 Fiorentina30 Nov 2025 · Serie A
Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.