Betting tips › Champions League › FC Porto v Napoli
Champions LeagueWed 4 Nov 20:00 UTCEstádio do DragãoFC Porto v Napoli tips
FC PortoWWLWW
NapoliDWLLLPorto enter this match at home with four wins from their last five outings. Napoli arrive struggling badly after suffering three consecutive defeats in their recent fixtures.
- FC Porto come into this fixture at Estádio do Dragão sitting on a strong run of four victories from their previous five matches in all competitions.
- Napoli make the trip to Portugal in poor form after recording three straight losses and only one draw in their last five outings.
- The bookmakers offer a fair price of 2.25 for FC Porto to win which gives us decent value given the contrasting recent form of both sides.
- Napoli did manage to win one of their last five matches which shows they can occasionally pull off a result despite their current losing streak.
- The price of 2.25 for FC Porto leaves some room for caution because visiting sides in the Champions League always pose a threat.
Both teams have shown mixed defensive solidity recently making this market hard to predict with any real certainty.
We have no prices or lines for totals on this match so predicting goals is purely a guess.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
Edge Analysis
The market makes FC Porto the side to beat here at 43%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on FC Porto, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Porto enter this match at home with four wins from their last five outings. Napoli arrive struggling badly after suffering three consecutive defeats in their recent fixtures.
FC Porto come in strong, winning 83% of 40 on record. 17 of their 21 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.
Napoli come in solid, winning 48% of 40 on record. 8 of their 19 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.
The prices turn into 43% for FCP, 26% for the draw and 31% for NAP once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward FC Porto, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.25, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
- Napoli did manage to win one of their last five matches which shows they can occasionally pull off a result despite their current losing streak.
- The price of 2.25 for FC Porto leaves some room for caution because visiting sides in the Champions League always pose a threat.
We back FC Porto for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Every price we track
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
Recent Performance
FC Porto40 games on record- Scored79and let in23
- At home17 winsfrom21
- Right now2 wins in a row
Napoli40 games on record- Scored54and let in41
- On the road8 winsfrom19
- Right now1 draw in a row
Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.