Betting tips › Championship › Derby County v Bolton Wanderers
ChampionshipFri 6 Nov 20:00 UTCPride ParkDerby County v Bolton Wanderers tips
Derby CountyDLLLW
Bolton WanderersWWLLLWe expect goals at Pride Park because both sides show leaky defences in their recent matches. The price of 1.93 for over 2.75 total goals offers decent value.
- Derby County return home after picking up four losses from their last five matches which highlights serious defensive vulnerabilities for us to exploit.
- Bolton Wanderers arrive following three straight defeats that demonstrate their ongoing struggles to keep clean sheets on the road.
- The bookmakers offer an even price of 1.93 for over 2.75 total goals which suits the recent defensive records of both clubs.
- Derby County managed only a single win in their last five outings which could lead to a cagey approach from the hosts.
- Bolton Wanderers suffered three recent losses where their scoring touch occasionally deserted them during tight spells in matches.
Both squads leak goals regularly based on their respective runs of five recent fixtures.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
Edge Analysis
The market makes Derby County the side to beat here at 43%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Over 2.75, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. We expect goals at Pride Park because both sides show leaky defences in their recent matches. The price of 1.93 for over 2.75 total goals offers decent value.
Derby County come in solid, winning 45% of 40 on record. 9 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.
Bolton Wanderers come in solid, winning 48% of 40 on record. 7 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.
The prices turn into 43% for DER, 26% for the draw and 30% for BOL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Derby County, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.93, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
- Derby County managed only a single win in their last five outings which could lead to a cagey approach from the hosts.
- Bolton Wanderers suffered three recent losses where their scoring touch occasionally deserted them during tight spells in matches.
We back Over 2.75 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Every price we track
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
Recent Performance
Derby County40 games on record- Scored57and let in51
- At home9 winsfrom20
- Right now1 draw in a row
Bolton Wanderers40 games on record- Scored62and let in46
- On the road7 winsfrom20
- Right now2 wins in a row
Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.