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Betting tips › Europa League ›  Crystal Palace v TSG Hoffenheim

 Europa LeagueThu 5 Nov 17:45 UTCSelhurst Park

Crystal Palace v TSG Hoffenheim tips

CRYCrystal PalaceDWLWW
VS
TSGTSG HoffenheimLLWLL
The model callCrystal PalaceMatch result1.95★★★★2 stars

Crystal Palace look the proper side to back here at Selhurst Park given their recent winning momentum against a struggling Hoffenheim squad. The hosts should grab another victory on home soil under the floodlights.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$39
Profit$19
Why it might land
  • Crystal Palace come into this fixture with three wins from their last five matches across all competitions showing decent momentum.
  • TSG Hoffenheim arrive in London having suffered four defeats in their last five outings which highlights their poor run of form.
  • The 1.95 odds on offer for Crystal Palace to win give us a fair price on the home side taking control.
Why it might not
  • Crystal Palace did slip up with a recent defeat and a draw in their last five matches so they are not entirely bulletproof.
  • TSG Hoffenheim managed a win recently within their last five fixtures so they retain some threat despite their overall struggles.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams have shown defensive leaks recently which suggests we might see goals at both ends.

Total goalsUnder 3.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We have no prices for the goal lines so it is hard to find real value on the total.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Crystal Palace the side to beat here at 49%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Crystal Palace, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Crystal Palace look the proper side to back here at Selhurst Park given their recent winning momentum against a struggling Hoffenheim squad. The hosts should grab another victory on home soil under the floodlights.

Form and momentum

Crystal Palace come in poor, winning 30% of 40 on record. 6 of their 21 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

TSG Hoffenheim come in solid, winning 49% of 39 on record. 8 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 49% for CRY, 24% for the draw and 27% for TSG once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Crystal Palace, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.95, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Crystal Palace did slip up with a recent defeat and a draw in their last five matches so they are not entirely bulletproof.
  • TSG Hoffenheim managed a win recently within their last five fixtures so they retain some threat despite their overall struggles.
The bottom line

We back Crystal Palace for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
CRY1.90draw3.70TSG3.75
SourceDraftKingsCRY -105
CRY1.95draw3.95TSG3.50

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CRYCrystal Palace40 games on record
Won12
Drawn10
Lost18
  • Scored48and let in60
  • At home6 winsfrom21
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWLWW
TSGTSG Hoffenheim39 games on record
Won19
Drawn7
Lost13
  • Scored72and let in64
  • On the road8 winsfrom20
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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