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Betting tips › Liga de Expansion ›  Correcaminos UAT v Venados FC

 Liga de ExpansionSat 31 Oct 01:00 UTCEstadio Marte R. Gómez

Correcaminos UAT v Venados FC tips

UATCorrecaminos UATWLDLD
VS
VENVenados FCWLWLL
The model callCorrecaminos UATMatch result2.00★★★★1 star

Correcaminos play at home against Venados and look slightly better value at evens. Both sides carry very messy recent form into this fixture.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$20
Profit$10
Why it might land
  • Correcaminos are playing at home on this pitch and the market prices them at two point zero zero to win the match.
  • The hosts grabbed a win recently in their run of five matches which gives them a slight edge over their visitors here.
  • Venados have lost three of their last five matches showing they struggle to find consistency on the road in this division.
Why it might not
  • Correcaminos only managed two draws and two losses in their other recent fixtures which leaves plenty of room for doubt.
  • Venados won two of their last five matches which proves they can still cause problems for teams priced at evens here.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both defences leak goals regularly based on their mixed runs of form over the last five outings.

Total goalsUnder 3.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither side shows enough consistent goalscoring power in their recent results to trust a high scoring match.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Correcaminos UAT the side to beat here at 45%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Correcaminos UAT, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Correcaminos play at home against Venados and look slightly better value at evens. Both sides carry very messy recent form into this fixture.

Form and momentum

Correcaminos UAT come in patchy, winning 33% of 6 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Venados FC come in solid, winning 50% of 6 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 45% for UAT, 24% for the draw and 30% for VEN once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Correcaminos UAT, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.00, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Correcaminos only managed two draws and two losses in their other recent fixtures which leaves plenty of room for doubt.
  • Venados won two of their last five matches which proves they can still cause problems for teams priced at evens here.
The bottom line

We back Correcaminos UAT for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsUAT +100
UAT2.00draw3.70VEN3.00

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

UATCorrecaminos UAT6 games on record
Won2
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored8and let in10
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLDLD
VENVenados FC6 games on record
Won3
Drawn0
Lost3
  • Scored16and let in12
  • On the road0 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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