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Betting tips › Europa League ›  Celta Vigo v Union St.-Gilloise

 Europa LeagueThu 5 Nov 20:00 UTCBalaidos

Celta Vigo v Union St.-Gilloise tips

CELCelta VigoWLDDD
VS
USGUnion St.-GilloiseWWWWW
The model callUnion St.-GilloiseMatch result3.10★★★★2 stars

Union arrive at Balaidos on a brilliant winning run while Celta keep dropping points. The price on the visitors looks big enough to back them.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$62
Profit$42
Why it might land
  • Union St Gilloise travel to Balaidos having put together a remarkably strong run of five straight wins in all their recent fixtures.
  • Celta Vigo have found it hard to turn draws into victories with three stalemates accompanying a win and a loss in their last five matches.
  • Union St Gilloise are available at a tempting price of 3.10 to take all three points on the road against mixed home form.
Why it might not
  • Celta Vigo are playing on their own turf at Balaidos where they will be desperate to break their frustrating sequence of recent draws.
  • Union St Gilloise face a tough away test in Europe against a Celta Vigo side that usually finds a way to avoid defeat.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Union keep winning games and Celta draw too many because they usually trade goals.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both sides possess enough recent momentum to push this past two goals.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Celta Vigo the side to beat here at 43%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Union St.-Gilloise, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Union arrive at Balaidos on a brilliant winning run while Celta keep dropping points. The price on the visitors looks big enough to back them.

Form and momentum

Celta Vigo come in patchy, winning 38% of 40 on record. 7 of their 19 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Union St.-Gilloise come in strong, winning 63% of 16 on record. 7 of their 9 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 6 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 43% for CEL, 26% for the draw and 31% for USG once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Celta Vigo, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 3.10, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Celta Vigo are playing on their own turf at Balaidos where they will be desperate to break their frustrating sequence of recent draws.
  • Union St Gilloise face a tough away test in Europe against a Celta Vigo side that usually finds a way to avoid defeat.
The bottom line

We back Union St.-Gilloise for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
CEL2.20draw3.70USG3.00
SourceDraftKingsCEL +120
CEL2.20draw3.70USG3.10

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CELCelta Vigo40 games on record
Won15
Drawn11
Lost14
  • Scored56and let in48
  • At home7 winsfrom19
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLDDD
USGUnion St.-Gilloise16 games on record
Won10
Drawn1
Lost5
  • Scored32and let in20
  • On the road7 winsfrom9
  • Right now6 wins in a row
Last fiveWWWWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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