Brisbane Roar v Auckland FC tips

BRR

Brisbane Roar

AFC

Auckland FC

The model callAuckland FCMatch result2.40★★★★1 star

Auckland head into this trip with betting support behind them at two point four zero. Brisbane are at home at Suncorp Stadium but neither side has prior form on record.

Stake1 unit

That is$10

Returns$24

Profit$14

Why it might land

Auckland travel for this fixture with a slightly shorter price of two point four zero compared to Brisbane at two point eight five.
Brisbane play their opening match of the sequence at Suncorp Stadium with no recent results on record to guide us.
The betting market suggests Auckland hold a small edge in expectations despite both squads entering the contest with clean slates.

Why it might not

Brisbane have home advantage at Suncorp Stadium which can always shift the balance in tight early season contests.
Auckland have zero matches on record to prove they can secure an away victory at this venue.

Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record

Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both squads start fresh with no matches played so goals are entirely unpredictable.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We lack any scoring data for both teams to form a strong view on the line.

Opens the books licensed in United States

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth

The matchup

The market makes Auckland FC the side to beat here at 39%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Auckland FC, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Auckland head into this trip with betting support behind them at two point four zero. Brisbane are at home at Suncorp Stadium but neither side has prior form on record.

Form and momentum

Brisbane Roar land here with no settled games on our record yet, so treat their form as an open question.

Auckland FC land here with no settled games on our record yet, so treat their form as an open question.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 33% for BRR, 28% for the draw and 39% for AFC once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.40, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong

Brisbane have home advantage at Suncorp Stadium which can always shift the balance in tight early season contests.
Auckland have zero matches on record to prove they can secure an away victory at this venue.

The bottom line

We back Auckland FC for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsAUC +140

BRR2.85draw3.35AFC2.40

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.