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Betting tips › Brasileirao ›  Botafogo v Atlético-MG

 BrasileiraoThu 5 Nov 00:30 UTCJoao Havelange Stadium

Botafogo v Atlético-MG tips

BOTBotafogoLWDDL
VS
CAMAtlético-MGWDWLW
The model callBotafogoMatch result2.00★★★★2 stars

Botafogo have home advantage at Joao Havelange Stadium and face an Atletico Mineiro side with mixed recent results. The prices offer even money on the hosts to get back on track.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$40
Profit$20
Why it might land
  • Botafogo play this fixture at home at the Joao Havelange Stadium where they will look to improve following a recent loss against their name.
  • The bookmakers offer a price of 2.00 for Botafogo to win this match which gives fair value for a home side in the Brasileirao.
  • Atletico Mineiro put together a mixed recent run of form featuring a win and a loss that shows they can be vulnerable on the road.
Why it might not
  • Botafogo arrive here with patchy league form after taking just one point from their last two matches including a recent defeat.
  • Atletico Mineiro head into this fixture with decent momentum having secured victories in three of their last five recent results.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

The recent form guides for both teams suggest they are capable of finding the net.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both sides have shown mixed defensive solidity recently which leaves the goal line open.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Botafogo the side to beat here at 47%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Botafogo, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Botafogo have home advantage at Joao Havelange Stadium and face an Atletico Mineiro side with mixed recent results. The prices offer even money on the hosts to get back on track.

Form and momentum

Botafogo come in poor, winning 13% of 8 on record. 1 of their 5 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Atlético-MG come in solid, winning 50% of 8 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 47% for BOT, 26% for the draw and 28% for CAM once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Botafogo, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.00, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Botafogo arrive here with patchy league form after taking just one point from their last two matches including a recent defeat.
  • Atletico Mineiro head into this fixture with decent momentum having secured victories in three of their last five recent results.
The bottom line

We back Botafogo for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsBOT +100
BOT2.00draw3.65CAM3.40

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

BOTBotafogo8 games on record
Won1
Drawn3
Lost4
  • Scored7and let in13
  • At home1 winsfrom5
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWDDL
CAMAtlético-MG8 games on record
Won4
Drawn3
Lost1
  • Scored14and let in7
  • On the road0 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDWLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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