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Betting tips › J1 League ›  Avispa Fukuoka v V-Varen Nagasaki

 J1 LeagueSat 7 Nov 06:00 UTCBest Denki Stadium

Avispa Fukuoka v V-Varen Nagasaki tips

AVFAvispa FukuokaLLDLL
VS
VVNV-Varen NagasakiDWLDL
The model callAvispa FukuokaMatch result2.05★★★★1 star

Avispa Fukuoka are playing terribly right now but Varen Nagasaki are hardly pulling up any trees either. We can back the home side at two point zero five because the visitors have only managed one win in their last five outings.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$20.5
Profit$10.5
Why it might land
  • Avispa Fukuoka are priced at two point zero five to win this match at Best Denki Stadium on Saturday.
  • Varen Nagasaki arrive with a recent run showing only one victory from their last five matches in all competitions.
  • The visitors picked up a draw in their most recent fixture but struggle to string positive results together consistently.
Why it might not
  • Avispa Fukuoka come into this clash on the back of four defeats from their last five matches.
  • The home side has endured a terrible run of form recently which makes trusting them at two point zero five a risky venture.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams keep leaking goals based on their recent losing streaks and draws.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We have no prices for the goal lines so it is best to avoid guessing on the total.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Avispa Fukuoka the side to beat here at 46%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Avispa Fukuoka, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Avispa Fukuoka are playing terribly right now but Varen Nagasaki are hardly pulling up any trees either. We can back the home side at two point zero five because the visitors have only managed one win in their last five outings.

Form and momentum

Avispa Fukuoka come in poor, winning 13% of 8 on record. 1 of their 5 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

V-Varen Nagasaki come in poor, winning 25% of 8 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 46% for AVF, 27% for the draw and 27% for VVN once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Avispa Fukuoka, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.05, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Avispa Fukuoka come into this clash on the back of four defeats from their last five matches.
  • The home side has endured a terrible run of form recently which makes trusting them at two point zero five a risky venture.
The bottom line

We back Avispa Fukuoka for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsAVF +105
AVF2.05draw3.45VVN3.50

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

AVFAvispa Fukuoka8 games on record
Won1
Drawn1
Lost6
  • Scored9and let in12
  • At home1 winsfrom5
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLDLL
VVNV-Varen Nagasaki8 games on record
Won2
Drawn2
Lost4
  • Scored10and let in15
  • On the road0 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWLDL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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