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Betting tips › MLS ›  Austin FC v Real Salt Lake

 MLSThu 29 Oct 00:30 UTCQ2 Stadium

Austin FC v Real Salt Lake tips

ATXAustin FCDDWDD
VS
RSLReal Salt LakeWLLLL
The model callReal Salt LakeMatch result2.45★★★★1 star

Real Salt Lake come here on a terrible losing run despite the price offering decent value. Austin FC keep drawing too many matches to trust them at home.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$24.5
Profit$14.5
Why it might land
  • Real Salt Lake are priced at 2.45 to win this match even though they have lost four of their last five fixtures.
  • Austin FC have played out four draws in their last five outings which shows they struggle to turn one point into three.
  • Real Salt Lake did manage a win recently in their last five matches which gives them at least some positive momentum heading here.
Why it might not
  • Real Salt Lake have lost four straight games coming into this fixture and look completely devoid of any winning form.
  • Austin FC have avoided defeat in five straight matches with three draws and one win making them tough to beat at Q2 Stadium.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams concede enough goals in their recent runs to suggest defensive frailties on both sides.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither side shows enough consistent scoring power in their recent results to back goals.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Real Salt Lake the side to beat here at 38%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Real Salt Lake, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Real Salt Lake come here on a terrible losing run despite the price offering decent value. Austin FC keep drawing too many matches to trust them at home.

Form and momentum

Austin FC come in patchy, winning 33% of 9 on record. 0 of their 5 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 draws in a row.

Real Salt Lake come in poor, winning 10% of 10 on record. 0 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 37% for ATX, 25% for the draw and 38% for RSL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.45, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Real Salt Lake have lost four straight games coming into this fixture and look completely devoid of any winning form.
  • Austin FC have avoided defeat in five straight matches with three draws and one win making them tough to beat at Q2 Stadium.
The bottom line

We back Real Salt Lake for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsRSL +145
ATX2.50draw3.70RSL2.45

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

ATXAustin FC9 games on record
Won3
Drawn5
Lost1
  • Scored13and let in11
  • At home0 winsfrom5
  • Right now2 draws in a row
Last fiveDDWDD
RSLReal Salt Lake10 games on record
Won1
Drawn2
Lost7
  • Scored11and let in19
  • On the road0 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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