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Betting tips › Brasileirao ›  Athletico-PR v Vasco da Gama

 BrasileiraoWed 4 Nov 22:30 UTCArena da Baixada

Athletico-PR v Vasco da Gama tips

CAPAthletico-PRWDLDW
VS
VASVasco da GamaWWWLW
The model callAthletico-PRMatch result2.10★★★★2 stars

Athletico Paranaense have home advantage at the Arena da Baixada and are priced at two point one to beat Vasco da Gama. They put together a win and a draw and a loss and a draw and a win in their recent fixtures.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$42
Profit$22
Why it might land
  • Athletico Paranaense are playing at home on their own turf and they hold a price of two point one to secure the victory against Vasco da Gama.
  • The hosts grabbed two wins and two draws alongside just one defeat across their last five matches in this Brasileirao season.
  • Vasco da Gama are priced at three point two to win this fixture despite the hosts holding solid form at the Arena da Baixada.
Why it might not
  • Vasco da Gama arrive with four wins from their last five matches which creates a very tough challenge for the home side.
  • The visitors showed great momentum by winning four of their recent five outings and they will be hard to break down.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams are scoring regularly in their recent matches so goals look likely.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Prices for the over and under are not currently available so we must guess.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Athletico-PR the side to beat here at 44%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Athletico-PR, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Athletico Paranaense have home advantage at the Arena da Baixada and are priced at two point one to beat Vasco da Gama. They put together a win and a draw and a loss and a draw and a win in their recent fixtures.

Form and momentum

Athletico-PR come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Vasco da Gama come in solid, winning 50% of 8 on record. 2 of their 5 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 3 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 44% for CAP, 27% for the draw and 29% for VAS once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Athletico-PR, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.10, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Vasco da Gama arrive with four wins from their last five matches which creates a very tough challenge for the home side.
  • The visitors showed great momentum by winning four of their recent five outings and they will be hard to break down.
The bottom line

We back Athletico-PR for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsCAP +110
CAP2.10draw3.50VAS3.20

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CAPAthletico-PR7 games on record
Won3
Drawn3
Lost1
  • Scored15and let in13
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDLDW
VASVasco da Gama8 games on record
Won4
Drawn1
Lost3
  • Scored12and let in10
  • On the road2 winsfrom5
  • Right now3 wins in a row
Last fiveWWWLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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