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Betting tips › Liga de Expansion ›  Alebrijes de Oaxaca v Mineros de Zacatecas

 Liga de ExpansionFri 30 Oct 01:00 UTCEstadio Tecnólogico de Oaxaca

Alebrijes de Oaxaca v Mineros de Zacatecas tips

OAXAlebrijes de OaxacaLLWLD
VS
MDZMineros de ZacatecasWWLLW
The model callMineros de ZacatecasMatch result2.30★★★★2 stars

Mineros de Zacatecas bring a stronger recent winning habit to Estadio Tecnologico de Oaxaca and hold a fair price of 2.30 to beat Alebrijes de Oaxaca. The home side simply cannot find any consistency after picking up four losses from their last five matches.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$46
Profit$26
Why it might land
  • Mineros de Zacatecas arrive with three wins from their last five matches which shows they can put together positive results in this division.
  • Alebrijes de Oaxaca have struggled deeply during their recent run with four defeats recorded across their last five outings in the league.
  • Bookmakers offer a very fair price of 2.30 for Mineros de Zacatecas to secure another victory away from home on Friday night.
Why it might not
  • Mineros de Zacatecas have also suffered two losses in their last five matches so they are not entirely immune to sudden defensive slips.
  • Alebrijes de Oaxaca managed a draw recently which proves the hosts can sometimes frustrate opposing sides on their own turf.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Frequent losses for the hosts and mixed results for the visitors point toward defensive errors on both sides.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both squads show enough defensive lapses in their recent form to suggest goals might happen.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Mineros de Zacatecas the side to beat here at 39%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Mineros de Zacatecas, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Mineros de Zacatecas bring a stronger recent winning habit to Estadio Tecnologico de Oaxaca and hold a fair price of 2.30 to beat Alebrijes de Oaxaca. The home side simply cannot find any consistency after picking up four losses from their last five matches.

Form and momentum

Alebrijes de Oaxaca come in poor, winning 17% of 6 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

Mineros de Zacatecas come in solid, winning 50% of 6 on record. 1 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 34% for OAX, 27% for the draw and 39% for MDZ once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.30, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Mineros de Zacatecas have also suffered two losses in their last five matches so they are not entirely immune to sudden defensive slips.
  • Alebrijes de Oaxaca managed a draw recently which proves the hosts can sometimes frustrate opposing sides on their own turf.
The bottom line

We back Mineros de Zacatecas for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsMDZ +130
OAX2.70draw3.35MDZ2.30

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

OAXAlebrijes de Oaxaca6 games on record
Won1
Drawn1
Lost4
  • Scored5and let in13
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWLD
MDZMineros de Zacatecas6 games on record
Won3
Drawn0
Lost3
  • Scored8and let in8
  • On the road1 winsfrom3
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWLLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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