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Betting tips › Conference League ›  AGF v Braga

 Conference LeagueThu 5 Nov 17:45 UTCCepheus Park Randers

AGF v Braga tips

AGFAGFDLDLL
VS
SCBBragaDWLWW
The model callBragaMatch result2.05★★★★2 stars

Braga arrive in much better shape with three wins from their last five matches and hold a clear edge over struggling AGF. The visitors look a fair price at two point zero five to get the job done away from home.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$41
Profit$21
Why it might land
  • Braga bring a solid run of form into this fixture after claiming three victories from their last five matches in all competitions.
  • The hosts AGF are struggling badly for wins lately having failed to taste victory in any of their last five recent outings.
  • Bookmakers offer a very backable price of two point zero five for the away win given the stark contrast in recent results.
Why it might not
  • Braga were held to a draw in their most recent fixture which shows they can sometimes slip up on the road.
  • AGF managed to draw two of their last five matches and could frustrate the visitors if they lock down their defence.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides have shown enough defensive leaks in recent weeks for each team to find the net.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We have no pricing on the line for goals so it is pure guesswork to back either side of the total.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Braga the side to beat here at 46%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Braga, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Braga arrive in much better shape with three wins from their last five matches and hold a clear edge over struggling AGF. The visitors look a fair price at two point zero five to get the job done away from home.

Form and momentum

AGF come in poor, winning 0% of 7 on record. 0 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Braga come in solid, winning 48% of 40 on record. 9 of their 21 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 25% for AGF, 28% for the draw and 46% for SCB once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Braga, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.05, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Braga were held to a draw in their most recent fixture which shows they can sometimes slip up on the road.
  • AGF managed to draw two of their last five matches and could frustrate the visitors if they lock down their defence.
The bottom line

We back Braga for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsSCB +105
AGF3.80draw3.35SCB2.05

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

AGFAGF7 games on record
Won0
Drawn3
Lost4
  • Scored8and let in14
  • At homeno winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLDLL
SCBBraga40 games on record
Won19
Drawn13
Lost8
  • Scored71and let in41
  • On the road9 winsfrom21
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWLWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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