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Betting tips › Scottish Premiership ›  Aberdeen v Falkirk

 Scottish PremiershipWed 28 Oct 19:45 UTCPittodrie Stadium

Aberdeen v Falkirk tips

ABEAberdeenDWDLL
VS
FALKFalkirkDWDLL
The model callAberdeenMatch result1.95★★★★1 star

Aberdeen return to Pittodrie to face Falkirk under a cloud of patchy form from both sides. We lean toward the home win at nineteen to twenty because the visitors share an identical recent run of results.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$19.5
Profit$9.5
Why it might land
  • Aberdeen have home advantage at Pittodrie Stadium for this midweek Scottish Premiership fixture against Falkirk on Wednesday the twenty eighth of October.
  • The hosts are priced at nineteen to twenty in the match market which gives a fair starting point for punters wanting a home win.
  • Both sides arrive into this match carrying the exact same recent form sequence of a draw followed by a win and a draw then two losses.
Why it might not
  • Aberdeen have struggled to string positive results together lately as shown by their recent sequence of a draw and a win and a draw followed by two losses.
  • Falkirk match their opponents completely across the last five outings with one draw and one win and a draw followed by two defeats.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams share identical recent form lines which suggests a tight game where both might find the net.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We have no prices available for the over and under goal lines so any total play is purely speculative.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Aberdeen the side to beat here at 48%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Aberdeen, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Aberdeen return to Pittodrie to face Falkirk under a cloud of patchy form from both sides. We lean toward the home win at nineteen to twenty because the visitors share an identical recent run of results.

Form and momentum

Aberdeen come in poor, winning 17% of 6 on record. 0 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Falkirk come in poor, winning 17% of 6 on record. 0 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 48% for ABE, 27% for the draw and 26% for FALK once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Aberdeen, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.95, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Aberdeen have struggled to string positive results together lately as shown by their recent sequence of a draw and a win and a draw followed by two losses.
  • Falkirk match their opponents completely across the last five outings with one draw and one win and a draw followed by two defeats.
The bottom line

We back Aberdeen for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
ABE1.87draw3.50FALK3.60
SourceDraftKingsABE -105
ABE1.95draw3.50FALK3.65

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

ABEAberdeen6 games on record
Won1
Drawn2
Lost3
  • Scored5and let in7
  • At home0 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWDLL
FALKFalkirk6 games on record
Won1
Drawn3
Lost2
  • Scored6and let in7
  • On the road0 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWDLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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