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Betting tips › Primera Division ›  2 de Mayo v Deportivo Recoleta

 Primera DivisionThu 29 Oct 18:00 UTC

2 de Mayo v Deportivo Recoleta tips

MAY2 de MayoDLLWD
VS
DEPDeportivo RecoletaLLLLL
The model call2 de MayoMatch result1.95★★★★2 stars

Two de Mayo play at home against a struggling opponent who cannot buy a win. The visitors are on a terrible five match losing streak.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$39
Profit$19
Why it might land
  • Deportivo Recoleta come into this fixture on the back of five straight defeats in their most recent outings.
  • Two de Mayo are priced at 1.95 to win this match which offers decent value against such poor away form.
  • The home side picked up a win and two draws in their last five matches while the visitors lost every single one.
Why it might not
  • Two de Mayo have two losses and two draws in their last five matches which shows they are far from unbeatable.
  • The home team failed to win three of their last five matches and managed only a single victory in that recent run.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Deportivo Recoleta are struggling so badly that keeping them off the scoresheet looks very possible.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We have no prices for the goal lines so it is hard to find any value in the totals market.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes 2 de Mayo the side to beat here at 47%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on 2 de Mayo, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Two de Mayo play at home against a struggling opponent who cannot buy a win. The visitors are on a terrible five match losing streak.

Form and momentum

2 de Mayo come in poor, winning 29% of 7 on record. 0 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Deportivo Recoleta come in poor, winning 0% of 6 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 6 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 47% for MAY, 27% for the draw and 26% for DEP once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward 2 de Mayo, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.95, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Two de Mayo have two losses and two draws in their last five matches which shows they are far from unbeatable.
  • The home team failed to win three of their last five matches and managed only a single victory in that recent run.
The bottom line

We back 2 de Mayo for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsMAY -105
MAY1.95draw3.40DEP3.60

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

MAY2 de Mayo7 games on record
Won2
Drawn3
Lost2
  • Scored7and let in10
  • At home0 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLLWD
DEPDeportivo Recoleta6 games on record
Won0
Drawn0
Lost6
  • Scored4and let in14
  • On the roadno winsfrom3
  • Right now6 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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